Category Archives: Rant

Dogma over Reality

So, I wasn’t going to say anything about Palin’s daughter’s pregnancy, as I do think Obama and McCain are right that the private lives of the candidates should be, for the most part, off limits.  However, when their private lives impact or reveal their suitability for their potential position, then I think it is not only fair but important to delve into things a bit more.

I have no problem with the fact of the pregnancy.  The girl is young, hormones are hard to control, and things happen.  And I commend her for dealing with the situation in an adult manner.

However, I do have issue with what this reveals about her mom.  Her mom has an abstinance-only position, in spite of the numerous studies that have shown that this is a failed policy, that it doesn’t work as a way of reducing teen pregnancy.  And, lo and behold, it didn’t even work in her own family.  This, to me, is a sign of the same dogmatic view of life that admits no greys, that ignores the real-world evidence and stubbornly pushes forward even when the reality is that such policies just do not work.

It is fine to live your personal life in such a dogmatic way.  That is the beauty of our country and the freedom of religion/belief that it exemplifies.  However, this is not the kind of person who should be leading our country.  We need someone who can adjust to reality, who can see when things are working and when they are not and who can adjust their position accordingly.  We need someone who will listen to voices that disagree with them, who, even though doesn’t like those voices, will consider their counsel and, when prudent and necessary, adjust.

The other thing that bothers me is the free pass this situation is getting from her supporters.  I truly do not believe that if the shoe were on the other foot, a free pass would have been given to Obama.  They would have blamed any pregnancy of his daughters on their “liberal” and “immoral” lifestyle, the type of lifestyle that, certainly, all Democrats live.

The more I hear about Palin, the more I think she is a bad choice.  She was for the “bridge to nowhere” before she was against it.  She was for earmarks before she was against them.  (And Kerry was the flip-flopper?)  She has left the country once in her life.  The claims that Alaska is next to Russia and that gives her some foreign policy experience are just ludicrous.  When is the last time Russia even mentioned Alaska?  Has she even met a Russian national?  And that she has foreign policy experience because her son is going to Iraq?  That is equivalent to saying my parents are scientists because I went to graduate school.

I’m not entirely sure why, but this election, more than most, has me fired up.  I wasn’t even this upset at Bush’s last campaign (though I was when he won).  I just can’t believe the way the politics is playing out.  I hope that McCain, in choosing Palin, gets those Evangelical votes he so desparately wanted but, in doing so, forfeits the centrist moderates he needs just as badly and thus the election.

VP Choices

Now that the two tickets are set — Obama and Biden, McCain and Palin — I thought I’d give my perspective on what the choices for VP tell at least me about the two campaigns.

First, it is interesting that each campaign chose a person that personifies the very essence of the other campaign that they were attacking: Biden is the Washington insider, no symbol of change, and Palin is about as inexperienced as you could imagine.

Biden, Obama’s pick, is a well-known commodity.  He has been in the Senate for many years, longer than even McCain.  Why did Obama pick him?  To me, it seems that Obama was trying to address some of his own short-comings, namely his lack of foreign affairs experience and insider knowledge of how Washington works; even though Obama is also a Senator, his experience is, admittedly, limited.  So, it seems that Obama chose Biden to shore up his weaknesses, to make his ticket stronger and to better able to perform the job they hope to be elected to.  He picked Biden in spite of his baggage, including his tendency to go off message and be a hot head, as well as the plagarism charges that are likely to at least be rehashed in this election.

Of course, that isn’t the only reason.  Biden is expected to be an attack dog, to be able to bring more heat against McCain during the election.  So, there is a pragmatic reason for his choice as well.  But, it seems that the primary reason is to make the potential Democratic administration that much more effective.

Palin, on the other hand, it seems to me, was chosen solely for what she can bring to the election, not what she would actually bring to a McCain administration.  She was chosen to appeal to the conservative Evangelical base as well as the disaffected Hillary supporters.  The hope, it seems, is to attract them to McCain, or make McCain seem more palatable to those constituencies.  She doesn’t bring much of anything to a Republican adminstration in terms of experience or abilities.  She is known as being tough on corruption, and being fiscally conservative, but it isn’t at all clear how that helps a Presidential administration.

Obama’s choice of Biden tells me that Obama knows his weaknesses and is willing to put people who are much more knowledgeable in those areas around him, to help advise him.  He is willing to surround himself with people who can advise him, who will challenge his views and opinions, resulting in better decisions.  McCain’s choice of Palin, on the other hand, tells me the opposite.  Palin herself denies the role of humans in global warming, despite the fact that the overwhelming majority of scientists who actually study global warming are convinced the evidence points to humans having played a significant role.  She also supports the teaching of Creationism in schools.  She is a person who believes what she believes, who is dogmatic, and has no place for opinions that differ from hers, even when those opinions come from experts.  We have already had 8 years of this, of science being thrown to the wayside because it is inconvenient, because it disagrees with the assumptions of the administration.  We don’t need any more.  McCain’s choice of Palin tells me what I already suspected:  he doesn’t need advisors, because he already “knows” the answers.  He demonstrated this earlier with is dismissal of economists’ insistence that a gas tax holiday was a bad idea, and he has further demonstrated with his choice of Palin.

The choice of a VP serves two principle purposes: to help the ticket win and to help make the administration more complete.  That Obama picked a VP that seems to serve the second purpose more than the first is a good sign to me.  That McCain picked a VP that primarily serves the first purpose and is likely irrelevant in the administration itself is, to me, the worst possible reason to pick a person.  These choices reinforce, for me, Obama as the better candidate for president in this election. I am impressed with Obama’s choice, but I am disappointed with McCain’s.

Greatness and Excitement, Delayed

I haven’t been following the Olympics religiously, but I’ve enjoyed what I’ve caught.  While in Seattle, I stayed up too late watching NBC’s coverage until midnight, messing up my sleep schedule for the next day.  And, while I’m not gah-gah over Phelps, I’ve found his chase for 8 golds exciting enough and interesting enough to tune in.

So, the other day, I was heading to the store, with ESPN radio in the back ground.  In their SportsCenter update, they mentioned how Phelps had won gold number 6.  Cool, I thought.

I got home maybe 30 minutes later, and NBC was announcing that Phelps’ race was coming up in about 30 minutes.  What, I thought?  Was I confused?  Did I mishear ESPN?  I checked the official swimming results and, sure enough, he had raced and won.  It’s just that NBC hadn’t shown it yet.

It turns out, NBC is showing the Olympics on the west coast (Pacific and Mountain time zones) via tape delay.  The east coast gets it live, but we don’t.  And maybe that wouldn’t bother me at all, except for the fact that they paste live on every damn screen and Costas says “live from the water cube” or “live from the national indoor stadium” every other line.  Never once do they tell us that the broadcast is tape delayed.  I had no idea until I stumbled on it.

It seems particularly dishonest.  NBC should be saying “tape delayed” somewhere on the screen if, in fact, that is what it is.  To say “live” with no clarification is down right lying.

It seems that NBC negotiated hard with Beijing to have the crucial events (gymnastics, swimming, etc) at a time that was prime-time in the US so they could show them live.  Then, they don’t.  Why not show them live and show us more stuff?  At midnight, we’d get stuff on the west coast that the east coast guys didn’t really have a chance to see and they would see stuff in prime time that was on while we were still at work.

Even more annoying, to me, is that, even though it is tape delayed, we get all the damn filler and fluff.  And then they choose to show synchronized diving.  Is that the most exciting event on during that time?  Definitely not to me, and I’m guessing not the majority.

In the end, NBC can do whatever the hell they want, but they should be honest with what they are showing.  If it isn’t live, live shouldn’t be shown on the screen anywhere.

Without the Hot Air

I recently posted about a talk I saw about meeting our global energy needs in the future.  To me, one of the frustrating things about the whole conversation is that there aren’t hard numbers comparing one scenario to another.  For example, I’ve heard that if we cover all of New Mexico in solar cells, we could meet the energy demands of the entire nation.  However, I’ve not heard how much that would cost and how that compares to say building new nuclear power plants.

Clearly, I’m not the only one with this frustration.  And someone has done something about it. David J.C. MacKay, Professor of Natural Philosophy in the Department of Physics at University of Cambridge, is working on a book to answer precisely these questions.  As he says, we need “numbers, not adjectives” in trying to decide how to both meet our energy needs and to reduce our green house emissions.  On his website, Without the Hot Air, he presents a draft of a book in which he compares the possible energy sources available to Great Britain with the energy consumption they are currently using.  I’ll admit I haven’t read his book, yet, but I went through some of his slides and his executive summary, also available on his website.  The upshot:  Britain cannot generate the power it currently uses from renewable sources available only within Britain.  And that is if, for example, all land in GB was used for power generation of one sort or another, which, as he points out in his slides, would make a lot of people unhappy (he shows protests against off-shore wind farms, where the protestors bemoan the destruction of scenary).

And, as opposed to a lot of people who bemoan our current situation (i.e. Al Gore), Dr. MacKay gives concrete plans that embody different policies (such as a Green plan which uses no coal or nuclear to an Economic plan that relies heavily on nuclear) to solve Britain’s energy problem.  These rely upon two things: increasing energy production, which in the case of Britain seems to involve getting power from other countries that can produce more renewable energy, and decreasing energy consumption.  Both are key to a solution to the problem.

One interesting side tidbit I saw in his slides: I guess one reason people don’t like windmills is that they kill birds.  He compares the number of birds killed in Denmark, which has a much higher number of windmills than GB, by windmills and cars and the number killed in GB by cats.  The number killed by cars dwarfs those killed by windmills, and the numbers killed by cats are many orders of magnitude greater than either.  Just an interesting tidbit.

Anyways, without hard analysis like Dr. MacKay’s and the corresponding realistic look at possible solutions, we will never solve the energy problem.  A prime example is biofuels.  Biofuels are touted as a great advance in addressing the problem.  However, everything I’ve read suggests biofuels are, at best, a distraction and will not help in any significant way.  That they are so highly touted by politicians and the like just distracts us from real solutions.

Some other links I found on Dr. MacKay’s site: his blog, where he discusses energy claims in the media and other aspects of energy consumption and Sandy Polak’s site, which discusses ways to reduce your carbon footprint that are realistic.

(The figure is from Dr. MacKay’s website.)

30,000,000,000 miles and counting

Earlier this month, there was a report on NPR about how much we (Americans) have driven this year compared to last year.  The result: due to increased gas prices, we have driven 30 billion miles less than last year so far.  And use of public transportation is on the rise, maxing out in a lot of places. It took prices at $4 per gallon to force us to change our habits.  And now, our public transportation system is at the edge of what it can handle.

It is unfortunate that we have little to no foresight.  If, in the 90s, when the economy was booming and everyone was just a bit better off, we had just taxed gas a bit higher and invested all that money in public transportation development, we would be in very good shape today.  Or, going back to the energy crisis of the 70s, if, after gas prices spiked and started to fall, if we had taxed gas somewhere between the high and the low, it wouldn’t have felt so hard and we would have 40 years of money to develop public transport.

But we never have any foresight.  It is always about the here and now; our immediate future, not the long-term consequences of our actions; our personal self-interests rather than the interests of the “greater good”.  I wonder if this is a consequence of our democratic system:  politicians have to focus on 2, 4 or 6 year cycles, so they have to do things that have results on that kind of time scale.  They can’t plan so easily for longer term results as that will have little impact on the next election cycle.  Or maybe that is a consequence of us, the electorate.  Maybe we can’t see past today, can’t see what we will need tomorrow and elect people who plan longer term.  I don’t know.  All I know for sure is that, with some foresight, we would be in a much better place today than we are.